Re: WORLD HAS MASSIVE OIL SUPPLY

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Re: WORLD HAS MASSIVE OIL SUPPLY FrediFizzx 07-21-2008
Posted by FrediFizzx on July 21, 2008, 3:51 pm
>i was just reading the other day and found out the world has "54 DAY "
> supply of oil built up. this means, if every country in the world
> stopped producing oil today, the world would still have enough to last
> 54 days ....my point ? when you read speculators trying to scare people
> because a "hurricane could partially shut down production" for a few
> days in the area of the storm,they are knowing being
> "disingenuis"...they know it will have ZERO effect on any ones oil
> supply.
> the same goes for a nigerian oil pipeline or a bomb goig off in the
> middle east= no effect n the oil supply whats -so -ever...

Trump was saying last week there are a whole bunch of full oil tanker ships
around he world with no where to go. I wonder how much that adds up to?

Fred



Posted by Buff-Meister \"BUFFETTHATER\" on July 21, 2008, 3:58 pm
>
>
> >i was just reading the other day and found out the world has "54 DAY "
> > supply of oil built up. this means, if every country in the world
> > stopped producing oil today, the world would still have enough to last
> > 54 days ....my point ? when you read speculators trying to scare people
> > because a "hurricane could partially shut down production" for a few
> > days in the area of the storm,they are knowing being
> > "disingenuis"...they know it will have ZERO effect on any ones oil
> > supply.
> > the same goes for a nigerian oil pipeline or a bomb goig off in the
> > middle east= no effect n the oil supply whats -so -ever...
>
> Trump was saying last week there are a whole bunch of full oil tanker ships
> around he world with no where to go. I wonder how much that adds up to?
>
> Fred

No affect on supply, just prices.
Oil is headed to $225 in the next month or so. The shorts driven
out
of the market will just long oil instead.

And Trump is a great and respected oilman of the same distinction
that you two have towards investing.

Posted by Lubow on July 21, 2008, 4:44 pm
Hello, Buff-Meister!
You wrote on Mon, 21 Jul 2008 12:58:50 -0700 (PDT):
>Oil is headed to $225 in the next month or so. The shorts driven
>out
>of the market will just long oil instead.

I assume your broker told you that. Just need to know on what basis did he make
such a forecast. Everything I see -- Asian markets, Latin American markets,
Europe -- has recession written all over it. Oil prices and recessions don't
mix.

Won't be the first time someone sees things I don't see, so please tell us what
am I missing?

Thanks and good luck.

Lubow.


Posted by Buff-Meister \"BUFFETTHATER\" on July 21, 2008, 5:14 pm
> Won't be the first time someone sees things I don't see, so please tell us what
> am I missing?
>
> Thanks and good luck.
>
> Lubow.

He is negative/neutral oil & NG and expect correction down to $122.
Long term very bullish but keeps saying in the long term we are all
dead so don't waste $$$ making a trend, just follow. Did not
even talk short oil, perhaps knows my feelings so can't say. He did
mention last friday that nothing good will come out of iranians.

He is pushing gold and <surprise> silver & very negative on the dollar
and S&P500/QQQ. Neutral/neg the PGMs i so love. Sees gold
busting out over 1K decisively and could hit $1500 this year.

On oil. . . . he expected it to trend down <for the very reasons you
cite?>,
but any strength (key reversal?) by which oil touches the nuetral line
and moves higher by more than $3 to the close is a bullish signal.

Email me, will forward his firms daily trending charts, for some
reason
they ignore fundies and trade by charting>>>>>something i don't
agree with.

BTW: Expects NASD to crash by 20% with or without shorts
being roasted.

Posted by FrediFizzx on July 21, 2008, 5:57 pm
> Hello, Buff-Meister!
> You wrote on Mon, 21 Jul 2008 12:58:50 -0700 (PDT):
>>Oil is headed to $225 in the next month or so. The shorts driven
>>out
>>of the market will just long oil instead.
>
> I assume your broker told you that. Just need to know on what basis did
> he make such a forecast. Everything I see -- Asian markets, Latin
> American markets, Europe -- has recession written all over it. Oil prices
> and recessions don't mix.
>
> Won't be the first time someone sees things I don't see, so please tell us
> what am I missing?
>
> Thanks and good luck.
>
> Lubow.

BH is just broadcasting more of his lies. China definitely is going to have
a temporary slowdown in oil consumption.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080721/ap_on_re_as/china_traffic_plan

But the recessions you are seeing are not real. Slowdown maybe but growth is
still growth. Estimated world economic growth for this year was just raised
to 4.1%.

Fred



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