Right now, it looks very risky to go long on stocks

Mutual Funds - Mutual Funds. 

get this group's latest topics as an RSS feed add this group's latest topics to your My MSN content add this group's latest topics to your My Yahoo content  add this group's latest topics to your Google content  YahooMyWeb Yahoo!  Google Google  Windows Live Favorites Windows Live  del.icio.us del.icio.us  digg digg  Add to Netscape Netscape
Subject Author Date
Right now, it looks very risky to go long on stocks Tom_Cochrane 06-06-2008
Posted by Tom_Cochrane on June 6, 2008, 9:59 pm
I am going by personal sentiment, but it looks like nothing is worth
putting money into right now in the equity world unless you are
investing for a very long term return. Maybe this is the way the
market works, it throws you off whether you are bullish or bearish.
The funny part is I am not that bearish either in terms of nominal
market indexes. I just think inflation and dollar implosion will
effectively make buying power of any 8% annual market returns
useless. Can we get into a funk where the market just does not do
anything except go sideways for many years?

Posted by FrediFizzx on June 6, 2008, 11:06 pm
>I am going by personal sentiment, but it looks like nothing is worth
> putting money into right now in the equity world unless you are
> investing for a very long term return. Maybe this is the way the
> market works, it throws you off whether you are bullish or bearish.
> The funny part is I am not that bearish either in terms of nominal
> market indexes. I just think inflation and dollar implosion will
> effectively make buying power of any 8% annual market returns
> useless. Can we get into a funk where the market just does not do
> anything except go sideways for many years?

Sure, that is always possible but highly unlikely with the global
economies doing so well. In this day and age it is very important to be
globally diversified. Why wouldn't you be investing for a long term
return? Are you going to die soon or do you just need the money soon?
Don't invest with money that you might need soon or can't afford to
lose.

For long term, there is actually many bargains out there right now.

Fred


Posted by Andrew Koenig on June 7, 2008, 12:17 pm

>I am going by personal sentiment, but it looks like nothing is worth
> putting money into right now in the equity world unless you are
> investing for a very long term return.

Why do you think that this state of affairs is unusual?



Posted by Steven L. on June 7, 2008, 8:16 pm
Tom_Cochrane wrote:
> I am going by personal sentiment, but it looks like nothing is worth
> putting money into right now in the equity world unless you are
> investing for a very long term return. Maybe this is the way the
> market works, it throws you off whether you are bullish or bearish.
> The funny part is I am not that bearish either in terms of nominal
> market indexes. I just think inflation and dollar implosion will
> effectively make buying power of any 8% annual market returns
> useless. Can we get into a funk where the market just does not do
> anything except go sideways for many years?

That's what happened in the period 1966-1982. The market went sideways
or even lower. And when inflation is taken into account, the
inflation-adjusted return in that time period was decidedly *negative*.


--
Steven L.
Email: sdlitvin@earthlinkNOSPAM.net
Remove the NOSPAM before replying to me.

Posted by FrediFizzx on June 8, 2008, 1:58 am
> Tom_Cochrane wrote:
>> I am going by personal sentiment, but it looks like nothing is worth
>> putting money into right now in the equity world unless you are
>> investing for a very long term return. Maybe this is the way the
>> market works, it throws you off whether you are bullish or bearish.
>> The funny part is I am not that bearish either in terms of nominal
>> market indexes. I just think inflation and dollar implosion will
>> effectively make buying power of any 8% annual market returns
>> useless. Can we get into a funk where the market just does not do
>> anything except go sideways for many years?
>
> That's what happened in the period 1966-1982. The market went
> sideways or even lower. And when inflation is taken into account, the
> inflation-adjusted return in that time period was decidedly
> *negative*.

Probably why I wasn't interested in investing in stocks in my younger
years. ;-) Well since the peak of 2000 'til now is kind of the same
situation only with a tremendous drop in there. But goin' mostly
sideways for a bunch of years is probably worse since tough to make
money going either direction.

Fred


Similar ThreadsPosted
Went long on Semis July 13, 2006, 10:06 am
Re: Any trader going long Utilities? April 18, 2006, 3:31 pm
Re: Any trader going long Utilities? April 16, 2006, 4:05 pm
ETF Portfolio for long term (ROTH) May 30, 2007, 1:01 am
EARN USD50 OR MORE.....IN A DAY FOR LONG TERM January 21, 2008, 5:07 am
how long does it take to cancel a limit order?? April 10, 2006, 11:51 am
Long Leaf opens LLINX July 13, 2006, 8:31 am
Get a long-term investment account funded with $50 March 18, 2008, 8:18 am
Re: Long Term Care Mutual FUnd April 11, 2006, 10:49 am
small caps or large cap over a long time? April 24, 2006, 7:34 pm

other essential online resources:
United States Treasury
US Securities and Exchange Commission
New York Stock Exchange
Tokyo Stock Exchange
Accounting and Tax Software Forums

Contact Us | Privacy Policy   XML SitemapXML Sitemap