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Commodity and Futures - Physical commodity and financial futures markets.
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Posted by bkenison on November 3, 2006, 8:20 am
It has now been over thirty years ago since I discovered Kenison
Counting Numbers, a popular market timing method now used by traders
around the world.
At the time, I had just suffered a series of devastating trading
losses and was desperately searching for a simple yet totally reliable way
to time the markets. I was absolutely convinced there was an underlying
and identifiable pattern or rhythm in the markets. I could sense it. I
just knew it was there. But, I had no idea what it was. I wrestled with
questions of how such a thing could be. Or more to the point, since I saw
evidence of it's actual existence, how could I prove it was really there?
Even though initially I even questioned my own perceptions, I knew in my
bones it existed. I was determined to do whatever it took to identify it,
pick it apart and ultimately find out exactly what made it tick.
It was then that I realized if you could discover any sort of regular
or consistent pattern in market movements, you would have the key to
successful trading! Why? Because you could then trade in sync with the
timing patterns controlling market movement. This was certainly a goal
worth devoting a lifetime of research to. And, as it turns out, I did.
I started my search by going to the source which was the markets
themselves. I studied charts from every market I could get my hands on.
Some charts were constructed from data going back to the start of the
Chicago Board of Trade in 1848. I knew that if there was a pattern that
repeated itself in the markets, I could find it. That is, I could find it
if I was given enough time, effort and stacks of charts to look at.
After night after night of painstaking study, a bit of inspiration
arrived from somewhere. I surmised that by simply using a daily futures
chart where each vertical bar represents a single trading day, I could
possibly detect tradable patterns as reversal points occurred in normal
ongoing markets. Specifically, I was looking for reversals that tended to
happen on the same number counts over and over again when counting bars on
a price chart forward in time from any recognizable high or low point in
the past.
It was about this time that a fellow trader related to me that W. D.
Gann, the world famous market timer, was purported to have said "if you
want to know how to time the markets, read the Bible three times."
I had generally studied the writings of Gann and was frankly never
able to get much out of his cryptic and obscure ramblings other than to
note his focus on time as opposed to price pattern analysis.
Nevertheless, this got me to thinking. Was it in fact possible for
specific number counts to spotlight points in time where reversal energy
would be demonstrably exposed in the future? My research indicated that
was indeed the case with the number counts I had already identified in my
relentless search through endless chart examples. But now, this new
wrinkle presented itself. Was it possible as some sort of confirming
device that these same numbers are also numbers prominently mentioned in
the sacred texts?
Since it was my custom to regularly read in the Bible, I decided to
keep a notebook handy to jot down specific numbers mentioned in the Bible
as I came across them. I had no real expectations one way or the other,
but I was looking forward to comparing the numbers my private research was
turning up with the numbers prominently mentioned in the Bible.
So what did I find? Actually, it was a head scratching puzzle. What
I noticed right away after collecting months of references was that there
were an amazing number of near misses. That is, numbers from the Bible
were in most cases off by just one number count from the numbers I had
already identified through research.
This wasn't the only thing that bothered me. I'd been in a quandary
for years over a quotation from Jesus found in Luke 24:46 which said "Thus
it is written, and thus it behooved Christ to suffer, and to rise from the
dead the third day."
With my persistent mindset, I just couldn't see how Sunday was the
third day. It seemed to me that if Christ was crucified on Friday, then
Monday should be the third day. It had been a long running and seemingly
irreconcilable question in my mind.
Then out of the blue it struck me. To make the biblical order work,
you would have to count Friday as day number one. Why this had been so
hard for me to see was I suppose understandable. Counting that way was
just not how we were taught to count since grade school. Nevertheless,
this was a critical breakthrough. I had now learned how God counts.
The next step was obvious. I would use this newly learned counting
method on the charts I was studying and see how the number counts compared
with what I was doing before. I picked up one of my trusty old charts and
started counting days forward from a prominent top reversal point on the
chart using the top day as count number one.
Immediately, it jumped off the page at me. By adjusting the number
count by just one day to reflect the new counting method, the correlation
between Bible numbers and specific number counts I had already collected
was now almost perfectly...in sync.
I say almost perfectly because what showed up was a pattern of so
called hits where actual reversal days occurring on the chart would tend
to hit (1) on the day just before, (2) right on or (3) the day just after
the counting number day.
This was heady stuff. Clearly, by using the 40 different and proven
counting numbers so painstakingly identified through research and
confirmed in most cases by biblical references, I could now exactly
pinpoint into the future perfectly defined and extremely powerful 3 day
reversal zones. Or, put another way, I could spotlight identifiable
timing windows. And, all this on any chart for any market in the world at
any time.
It's important to note that the strongest reversal energy always
resides in the center day of the 3 day zone or window. I don't know why,
but the image of Christ crucified between 2 malefactors came to mind as I
worked with this material. And, as it turns out, the idea of a 3 unit
zone or window with the most powerful reversal energy focused on the
center unit became over time an even more powerful research concept.
And, here's another curiosity. Apparently, there's no way to
determine or foretell whether anticipated reversals will be up or down
reversals until you get there. As the market starts to actually trade up
or down into the zone or window, then and only then does the market tip
it's hand to us.
And, here's the really great part. This happens exactly at the
critical moment to do something from a market timing standpoint. That is,
just before the market reverses. And, only those that know the specific
number sequence which is in essence the language of the markets understand
what the markets are saying when they speak.
Amazingly, the markets literally hand us top secret timing information
at the critical moment for us to use it for positioning trades in the
right direction. This is precisely the right time to be totally in sync
with the flow of market movement.
Now, here's how it works. If a market is initially trading down into
a 3 day reversal zone, then we should expect a reversal of some
consequence to occur to the upside during the period of that reversal
zone. The anticipated reversal up is then confirmed and a buy signal is
generated on any subsequent day that sees a rally above a previous day's
high. It could not be more simple.
And conversely, if a market initially trades up into a 3 day reversal
zone, we should expect a reversal to the downside. The anticipated
reversal is then confirmed and a sell signal is generated by any
subsequent drop below a previous day's low.
Another major plus is that this strategy automatically generates
close-in stops and or stop/reverse points just on the other side of these
recently anticipated and confirmed reversals. This cuts our risk to the
bone while at the same time maximizing profit potential.
It was at this point that it suddenly occurred to me that what was
really happening here in this march of black bars across price charts was
the ongoing record in time of an unbelievable projection process. This
counting progression appears to be tracking some hitherto unknown energy
ripples that radiate forward in time from high and low reversal points in
the past.
My research proved this process is indeed ongoing. It's constantly
radiating energy off reversal points in the past which consequently
projects three day timing windows or reversal zones into the future. This
amazing reversal energy generates future reversal points in reliable
interval patterns falling precisely on certain specific number counts
which I had now painstakingly identified.
But, how could this be? All I could imagine was some kind of
mysterious wave energy must be radiating like a beacon off top or bottom
reversal points in the past. These waves are continually moving out into
the future in varying degrees of intensity, set in irregular yet constant
intervals and with enough structured energy to dramatically affect
directional turns in any market in exactly the same manner and timing
count sequence. And all this, at precisely and objectively projected
points in time in the future. Wow!
Sit back for a moment and think about this. The magnitude of this
discovery or literal revelation is mind boggling in it's implication and
absolutely astounding in it's import. It's almost as if the curtain has
been ripped back and we're now privileged to look lingeringly at the
fabric of space and time. We are now witness to the framework God employs
to organize time and event progressions. Shockingly, it would appear that
nothing happens by chance.
Instinctively, I realized this method of market timing could not be
called fundamental or technical analysis. It is rather an entirely new
and unique method of market timing analysis which I dubbed temporal
analysis since it is based on time instead of price. Indeed, I could now
see that one of the greatest hallmarks of the newly named Kenison Counting
Numbers was the total lack of subjectivity in producing such valuable
timing projections.
No guesswork is ever involved. The Kenison Counting Numbers sequence
is easy to use and understand. It even appeals to those who have never
traded before and need someone to show them the ropes. You don't need a
calculator, computer program or any kind of specialized foreknowledge.
The signals projected are very precise and completely objective. It's all
right there on the chart. Remember, this is purely eyeball to chart
analysis. The counting numbers pinpoint exactly where the next reversal
energy in the market will be exposed. And correspondingly, you then know
exactly where the next projected reversal should be expected. It's that
simple. And, where do you get the charts you need? They're free on the
internet.
And, here's another thing. Kenison Counting Numbers will never become
obsolete. A trader will be able to pinpoint exactly within one day of
specific future number counts where market reversals of varying degrees of
magnitude should appear.
How do we know this? Simply because years of exhaustive historical
research has proven that whether you're looking at constructed charts from
the last two centuries, the 1970's or last week, the analysis would have
worked exactly the same in each era and with exactly the same results.
After learning the Kenison Counting Numbers market timing method, it is
impossible to look at a price chart the same ever again.
I was also extremely gratified to learn through decades of ongoing
research that Kenison Counting Numbers work equally well in projecting
future reversal points in any market worldwide, irregardless of whether
it's a futures, options, stock, forex or cash market.
So, exactly how do Kenison Counting Numbers work?
This totally unique and extremely powerful method's ability to project
important market highs and lows in the future is uncanny. How does it do
it? After decades of personal research, I have identified the irregular
number sequence the market itself observes. Just count the bars on a
price chart forward from any market high or low point in the past and the
Kenison Counting Numbers will tell you exactly on which numbers in the
sequence you should expect powerful reversal energy to be exposed in the
future. And, all this is accomplished with a very high degree of
reliability. This allows traders to anticipate, confirm and then act on
potentially profitable trading turns that the uninformed don't even see
coming or have the slightest idea can be detected in advance.
With this new life long knowledge, you can spend just moments with a
price chart and know with total confidence what your course of action
should be and with absolute clarity what the potential risks are. There's
no need to check with anyone first. You're the expert! Why? Because
when you understand this market timing method you'll know with quiet
confidence what the market itself is telling you about current trends and
potentially explosive turning points and exactly when to expect them.
Your broker will start asking you for advice. Believe me, I know.
And now another amazing fact concerning the Kenison Counting Numbers
method. It works exactly the same no matter what time frame chart you're
looking at! As we already know if you apply the counting numbers to a
daily chart, you will project daily reversals into the future. But
surprisingly, If you also apply it to a weekly chart, you will project
weekly reversal points into the future. In fact, the same Kenison
Counting Numbers sequence works equally well when applied to monthly,
weekly, daily or intra-day charts.
At this point another phenomenal discovery was made. I discovered you
could determine the most likely actual future reversal day, week or month
within each projected reversal zone by using the Kenison Counting Numbers
to count backward in time from each of the three days, weeks or months
within each reversal zone. How does this work? Quite simply, when you
count backwards in the fashion mentioned above, you will notice that
significant high and low points in the past fall exactly on specific
number counts in the Kenison Counting Number sequence. But this happens
only if you are counting backwards from the most likely actual future day,
week or month where the market will in fact reverse! As I witnessed this
mirror image or echo effect in action, I realized this is truly a miracle.
It is astounding to realize by counting forward or backwards in time
that reversal energy is exposed on the same number counts in the Kenison
Counting Numbers sequence irregardless of whether you're counting on
monthly, weekly, daily, 60 minute, 30 minute or 15 minute price charts.
The magnitude of this discovery is truly amazing.
Copyright (c) 2006 Bruce Kenison. All rights reserved.
--------------
Bruce Kenison is the founder of several market timing advisory services
employing the Kenison Counting Numbers precision market timing method and
is the Editor of Bruce Kenison's Market Timing Signals ezine and
newsletter available FREE to investors and hedgers. He is also president
of a publishing and seminar company that recently published the 5th
Edition of Bruce Kenison's Market Timing Home Study Course. For a FREE
subscription to the ezine or newsletter and information on products and
services, send a blank e-mail with "Subscribe" in the subject line to:
brucekenison1@yahoo.com
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Posted by UMT on November 4, 2006, 7:51 am
Didn't I ask why you weren't a 'professional TRADER' after you made
your first post?
UMT
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