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Commodity and Futures - Physical commodity and financial futures markets.
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Posted by on May 12, 2006, 8:07 am
BS"D
RULES AND CAVEATS
Pivot Magic Trading Course
First rule:
"...Any time you don't know what is happening, get out!"
http://www.TradingThingys.com
MARKET IN REVIEW - LITE
Thursday (11 May 2006)
_____________________
PHASE 2 of our earlier projection has completed/initiated???
"...Massive retest of the L-T Sideways Channel ceiling..."
(That's an understatement!!!)
And:
"...Not much to add to our earlier assessment.
Suffice it to say that Thursday and Friday may
be full of excitement."
LOL!!! 'Twas!!!!!! TGIF!!!
**************************
1 = From the bell, trading opens at the Close, and Anomaly Reverses
(See 10-Minute,
bottom left chart) through the Pivot.
A = "S", 123 (half-hearted) retest of the Pivot. Could add contracts
or "Second
chance" enter here. Failed test of MA. Move profit-locking stop
above the MA,
per our rules.
B = Large red candle closes well south of the Mid. Move profit-locking
stop above
the Mid (moderately aggressive choice).
2 = Nice 123 "S" at the S1. Second chance to enter ongoing move or to
add contracts.
Failed test of MA. Move profit-locking stop above MA. Position is
already nicely
profitable, with profits protected.
C = Second healthy red candle closes below S1. Inch profit-locking
stop down a bit,
above the S1.
Price Action penetrates the L-T Sideways Channel ceiling
(light blue line)!!!
D = Large red candle through the MidW. Move profit-locking stop above
the MidW
Aggressive choice because:
* It's still some time to lunch.
* The Bull leg of the Doji Sandwich Volume
(middle chart) generates almost no Bull
Price movement.
E = Failed test of MA. If you took the less aggressive choice above in
= D, move
profit-locking stop above the MA now. And Price Action never looks
back at the light
blue line of the ceiling again!
F = Failed test of MA, through the S2. Move profit-locking stop above
the MA
(Lunchtime any minute now.)
G = Exhaustion gap and second healthy red candle closes below S2. Move
profit-locking
stop above S2. This left PMTers protected and calm during the fake DVS
reversal (middle
chart).
H = Large red candle/Failed test of MA bangs against S3. DVS (middle
chart). Per the
rules, move profit-locking stop above the MA.
No meaningful, Bull, Price Action response to the bounce on S3. Our
profits are well
protected going into the lunchtime droop and drift.
J = Large red candle/Second below S3/Failed test of MA. DVS (middle
chart). Brakes have
been applied. One more high-volume candle slides, = K, to tap (twice
actually) on the
light blue line. Hey, that's the L-T Sideways Channel floor!!! Wow!
Nice ride.
That's just too much to give back in an S3 retest. Take a look at the
absolute Momentum
stall on the 10-Minute (bottom left chart). Exit Now. 15 points
Multiple contracts (?), and that's a hefty bite!
Still wondering if Wednesday's FOMC would shake things loose? LOL!
PERSPECTIVE
(Daily, bottom right chart)
Got a mite more Bearish than we expected!!! Volume was stupendous!
Assumedly, a breather or a vigorous bounce expected on Friday.
But, Fridays have been tricky lately.
TGIF!!!
REMEMBER: Trade the Tape, Not my Prognostics!
Asher
=] ;-)>
Pivot Magic Trading Course
http://www.TradingThingys.com
Thursday's PMT Chart:
Http://www.TradingThingys.com/PMTJ/PivotMagic051106.gif
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