Cocoa

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Subject Author Date
Cocoa Dale Legan 05-15-2006
`--> Re: Cocoa Dale Legan05-15-2006
Posted by Dale Legan on May 15, 2006, 12:38 pm
Since UMT put his insult of my work in quotes and said please 2 times.
I'll answer the question about if the expected Cycle Inflection Point
on the 18th in Cocoa is a high or low.

In the past I've said I only cover cycles greater than 11 days and
prefer 21 days or greater.
Coccoa has been going up for how many days? So the expected direction
of the turn is?

But, I am hesistant about posting this because on that date it is
entirely possible (30%) that momentum will be + and although my method
would not give a sell in such a case. I'd have to deal with the "Dee
Dte Dee" (mind of mencia) brothers uninformed flames..

Cocoa so far has held support today. Risk reward at the presend price
is bad. I'd bail on any day trades..Basically covering commission.

A sell on a retracement over the next few days is a possiblility. Just
wait for the correct momentum setup and form the entries and stops
according to a money management plan.


Posted by Dale Legan on May 15, 2006, 11:41 pm
the momentum model changed my mind. I had thought an inversion.
Either way incorporation of todays action put cocoa in the time window
for a #1 confirmation of a cycle turn.

It takes #2 confirmation to confirm a cycle turn as demonstrated in
the corn example I posted.

So direction really is irrelevant right now. There will be a buy or
sell signal based on specific momentum. The forecast's are the
"bait", but it is the dynamic momentum model that is key to applying
the "information" (not forecast) to specific orders with proper risk to
reward ratio.


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